All four key exponential moving averages (EMAs) are situated well below the current price, forming a bullish arrangement: the 20-day EMA is at $0.09219, the 50-day at $0.08314, the 100-day at $0.08041, and the 200-day at $0.08746. The Parabolic SAR, which stands at $0.09181, is close to the 20-day EMA, providing a solid support area for buyers in case this pullback persists. Staying above this range would preserve the momentum from this week’s breakout and prevent it from turning into a failed attempt at breaking the descending trendline.
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$HBAR Support and Resistance Analysis
Hedera Update: IBM Adds Hedera-Based Identity Application to Its Cloud Services
The Hashgraph Group’s IDTrust, a self-sovereign identity solution for AI agents built on the Hedera network, has been included in the IBM Cloud Catalog, as announced on September 23rd. This marks one of the first commercial applications based on Hedera that can be directly acquired as a Software as a Service (SaaS) product through a notable cloud marketplace, giving it visibility among IBM’s extensive global enterprise clientele.
This agreement includes several additional benefits:
- THG was awarded IBM Silver Partner status after meeting the company’s technical certification requirements.
- A global Embedded Solution Agreement that facilitates integrating IBM’s technologies into THG’s own products, covering both cloud and AI applications.
- THG co-founder Stefan Deiss indicated that this listing addresses a critical enterprise need by validating that an autonomous AI agent is authorized to operate on behalf of an organization, with all credentials verified on Hedera’s ledger for transparency.
This listing continues THG’s trend of securing enterprise contracts over the past year, which includes collaborations with Merck Group on EU Digital Product Passports, PwC on carbon market frameworks, and Teleport on cross-border e-commerce documentation in Southeast Asia. Since 2019, IBM has been part of the Hedera Governing Council. The recent listing allows enterprise clients to procure Hedera-based solutions under their existing IBM spending agreements, effectively eliminating a common barrier to enterprise blockchain adoption.
Hedera Update: $HBAR Jumps Nearly 40% Amid ETF News and IBM Partnership
BREAKING: $HBAR rises nearly 40% as $HBAR ETF momentum builds following IBM’s collaboration with Hedera. pic.twitter.com/8ENY4CJ1g2
— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) September 29, 2026
$HBAR surged nearly 40% this week, as trader Crypto Rover suggested that this movement was driven by increasing ETF momentum linked to the recent IBM partnership.
Additionally, Hedera’s official account noted its integration into NVIDIA’s Open Agent Safety Platform, reflecting a broader initiative focused on trust and safety within the AI economy.
Hedera Update: Speculative Claims Connect $HBAR to AI Token Usage
Hedera is actually working on this since EQTY is essentially their offshoot. Hedera-hashgraph:native will be crucial for every AI provider, with millions needed monthly.
Each AI prompt processed by Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and others could consume around $0.008 worth of $HBAR… https://t.co/EWpZ0bcy3Y
— Dr. Shawn (@aroogle) September 28, 2026
Noted macro trader Dr. Shawn claimed that $HBAR may experience significant demand from AI providers. He mentioned that each AI prompt handled by firms like Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google could require approximately $0.008 worth of $HBAR, suggesting that the volume from ChatGPT alone could yield tens of millions in daily revenue for the network. This assertion has not been independently validated by Hedera, OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google and should be regarded as speculative.
#$HBAR – SIMPLE CHART 🎯:
Sometimes, numbers speak for themselves.
Consider the #QNT movement:
$120 → $250 → $360Now picture #$HBAR mirroring that pattern:
$0.12 → $0.25 → $0.36 👀Plus, we have two major liquidity targets waiting to be hit.… pic.twitter.com/JKCUMA43Br
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) September 28, 2026
In another analysis, EGRAG Crypto compared the chart of $HBAR to Quant’s historical price trajectory from $120 to $250 to $360, suggesting $HBAR might follow a similar trend from $0.12 to $0.25 to $0.36. This analysis should be viewed as a conceptual analogy rather than a definitive technical forecast, based on round figures instead of precise chart-driven targets.
Hedera Price Forecast: Optimistic and Pessimistic Perspectives for This Week
Optimistic Scenario, Target: $0.155
If $HBAR remains above $0.092 and regains this week’s peak around $0.1227, ongoing attention towards the IBM collaboration and ETF developments could support a movement back towards the resistance near $0.13, with the next significant level being the December 2025 high near $0.155.
Pessimistic Scenario, Risk Level: $0.0875 (200-Day EMA)
If $HBAR breaks below the $0.092 support zone, it could negate a considerable portion of this week’s gains. A decline in interest regarding the IBM news or a broader market pullback could lead to testing the 200-day EMA at $0.0875.
Frequently Asked Questions
Should $HBAR maintain above the $0.092 support level, it could advance towards $0.13 and potentially $0.155. Falling below that level raises the risk of a drop towards the 200-day EMA at $0.0875.
IBM has listed IDTrust, a self-sovereign identity platform powered by Hedera, on its Cloud Catalog, making it available directly to IBM’s enterprise clients.
This is a speculative assertion from one trader indicating that AI service providers might utilize $HBAR for every processing task. No confirmations from Hedera or the referenced AI companies exist, so this should be taken as speculation rather than established business engagements.
The surge is attributed to a combination of momentum related to ETFs and the listing of Hedera’s identity infrastructure on the IBM Cloud Catalog; however, the precise factors responsible for the extent of the increase have not been independently verified.