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Chicago, IL – August 25, 2026 – Today, Zacks Investment Ideas highlights Coinbase COIN and the iShares Bitcoin ETF IBIT.

Bitcoin: The Digital Safe Haven in Times of Deficit

In recent months, Bitcoin has experienced a notable downturn due to macroeconomic factors, concerns over quantum hacking, and investors diverting funds to artificial intelligence stocks. Following a robust rally throughout much of 2025, Bitcoin reached a high of $126,000 before plunging over 50% to a low of $59,000 in June.

While a 50% decline would typically spell disaster for stock markets, this is a common occurrence for Bitcoin. Historically, Bitcoin has seen drops of over 50% from its peak prices on five different occasions, including during the 2017-2018 bear market, the COVID crash in March 2020, the correction from May to July 2021, and the 2021-2022 FTX-driven bear market.

Regardless of these significant Bitcoin pullbacks, the cryptocurrency has consistently rebounded to achieve new all-time highs after each decline. Here are five reasons why the current situation might follow this trend:

Bitcoin Technical Analysis:

Currently, Bitcoin displays several positive technical indicators. Notably, it has retraced to its long-term 200-week moving average for the first time since 2023. Historically, this moving average has effectively marked the beginning of Bitcoin’s bull market and has served as a prime long-term buying point.

Additionally, Bitcoin spent over six months below its 200-day moving average, only the third time in its history this has occurred. This presents a rare opportunity for buyers; the last two times Bitcoin remained beneath the 200-day moving average for such an extended period, it surged by 39% and 115% within the following year.

Bitcoin Momentum Indicators:

Analyst Caleb Franzen (@CalebFranzen) emphasizes that last week’s 20% rally in Bitcoin could signify strong bullish momentum. Historically, since 2018, Bitcoin’s average return over the following six months after a weekly increase of 20% or more has been +51.3%.

Short Positions in Bitcoin are Vulnerable:

The recent crypto activity triggered liquidations totaling $2.73 billion in short positions, marking the largest liquidation event to date. As a result, many traders remain heavily positioned on the short side and may need to cover their bets in the upcoming weeks.

Inflation Hedge: The U.S. federal deficit has now hit $40 trillion for the first time. The government is incurring $3.8 billion in interest payments daily, with projections indicating it will rise to $5 billion by 2028. This is likely to lead to increased money printing and inflation of the dollar. With its limited supply, Bitcoin is viewed as a form of digital gold and an effective strategy against inflation.

Government Influence: Last Wednesday, President Trump announced plans for the U.S. to purchase significant amounts of Bitcoin.

Note: For those looking to invest in Bitcoin without a Coinbase or crypto account, a budget-friendly option is the iShares Bitcoin ETF.

Conclusion

The long-term bullish outlook for Bitcoin remains strong. Supported by historically significant technical levels, record liquidations, and escalating government debt, the current downturn aligns with prior market cycles.

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